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IPCC defines climate sensitivity as:

  • A The measured rate at which global sea levels rise per degree of atmospheric warming, a sea-level metric rather than the equilibrium temperature response to CO2 doubling
  • B Equilibrium global surface temperature increase due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration (currently estimated 2.5-4 degrees C)
  • C The minimum global temperature threshold required to begin melting polar ice caps, a melting-point threshold rather than an equilibrium temperature response metric
  • D The total annual rate of carbon dioxide emissions released worldwide each year, an emissions rate rather than a measure of equilibrium temperature response

Correct answer: B. Equilibrium global surface temperature increase due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration (currently estimated 2.5-4 degrees C)

Explanation: Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS): temperature increase expected from doubling pre-industrial CO2. IPCC AR6 likely range: 2.5-4 degrees C (best estimate: 3 degrees C).

Concept context

Ecosystems, food chains, energy flow, nutrient cycles, biodiversity, and conservation.

Read the full Ecosystem notes →